US Poultry Import Restrictions to China: Current Situation Analysis and Forecasts

Reasons for the Restrictions

One of the main reasons why CHINA is restricting poultry imports from the United States is to increase its own production. In recent years, the Chinese government has been actively supporting local producers, which has led to an increase in domestic supply. According to forecasts from the International Agricultural Service of China , both chicken production and consumption are expected to increase slightly in 2025. However, the growth of white broiler production is slower than expected, which may affect the overall market situation.

Prospects for a Decline in Imports

According to current forecasts, China’s chicken MEAT imports will decline in 2025. This is due to several factors:

1. Increased domestic production: Chinese farmers are increasing their production volumes, allowing the country to reduce its dependence on imports.

2. Stagnant demand: Changes in consumer preferences and a growing interest in healthier foods are affecting the demand for chicken. The Chinese are increasingly choosing alternative protein sources such asfish and plant products.

3. Economic factors: The depreciation of the yuan may make imports more expensive and less competitive with local products.

4. Animal disease control: Exporters are facing challenges related to outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza, which is also affecting shipment volumes. Chicken Feet

Exports

Despite the restrictions, US chicken foot exports to China are expected to remain stable. This is because the feet are in high demand in the Chinese market, where they are considered a delicacy. Therefore, even with restrictions on other types of poultry, certain market segments may remain profitable.

Consumer preferences

The Chinese continue to prefer white broiler meat, reflecting the general trend towards healthier proteins. This also opens up new opportunities for producers who can adapt to changing consumer demands. Moreover, the growing interest in healthy eating may lead to an increase in demand for organic and environmentally friendly products.

Thus, restrictions on U.S. poultry imports to China are the result of a complex interaction of factors, including increased domestic production, changes in consumer preferences, and economic conditions. The poultry market in China is expected to continue to evolve in the coming years, and producers must be prepared to adapt to new conditions to remain competitive.