Spozhivchiy will drink

The State Statistics Service has published official data on the dynamics of falling prices in Ukraine in linden. Maksim Fastiev, project partner of Infagro, after breaking inflation with dairy trends, as Infagro constantly analyzes.

The analyst noted that slower inflation in Ukraine in linden accounted for 22.2% before the linden of the past fate. The official slowdown in MILK prices (on the police) moved up by 21%, which practically correlates with the wild trend in fresh goods. But, in order to analyze the price dynamics of wholesale prices of the fresh category (before distribution), in order to follow the supplementary index of the fresh category Infagro ( milk , sour cream, sour milk syrup), then significantly more modest changes are expected. It's not worth talking about the HEALTH of the self-distribution, the service to retail, and also the promotion of shares (zbitkovo).

Inflation in the prices of processed products is similar to the dynamics in terms of syrovin and in the linden warehouse, usually 12% and 10%. Virobniks of a fresh category are working on interprofitability, rozumіyuchi, against the background of a decrease in the purchasing power of the population, further increase prices to speed up the fall of drink on products.

Against further inflation, the police will not escape through the devaluation of the hryvnia, and also the increase in prices for packaging that ingredients. Unfortunately, it is possible to predict a decrease in the reduction of sales of dairy products in the domestic market for two quarters.

Tsіkavo to equalize the Ukrainian situation with Poland. The HEAD Statistical Office of Poland provides data on modest rates of growth of slow inflation. In linden, the growth rate was 15.6% before the linden of the past fate (mayzhe yak in black, 15.5%, to speak about stabilization).

In terms of milk (on the police), the growth is greater and the dynamics are similar to those in Ukraine; And from what I significantly outweigh the high inflationary pace, so do the dynamics of the brewing rate of raw milk. It’s better to increase the cost of health in the lime by 54% (!), which may be higher than the increase in the price of milk (on the police).

The Polish pererobniks, in the past, had an inexcusable margin and could “forge” a higher rate of growth in purchasing prices for syrovine, but not in such a disproportion. The slower inflation of dairy products in the EU is only gaining wraps and, in the case of Poland, it is clear that at the onset of milk production it will also be added to the calmer moods of buyers.

ІNFAGRO