USA: Cattle market overview for the 48th week of 2021

The cost of Choice meat in the US market increased by $5.65 in a week, the price of Select beef increased by $3.64. Choice/Select price leverage dropped to $15.62.

In about 10 days we will have an update on retail meat inflation and we are confident that it will continue to show a double digit increase in beef prices. As noted by the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), regardless of the type of product - be it ground beef, loin steaks or ribs - retail prices for beef in November were 20-50% higher than a year ago. This is clearly seen in the example of one of the most popular products - ground beef with a fat content of 80-89%. In the four weeks ending November 26, the average price for this product was $ 4.43 per pound, up 40% from a year ago,   according to the USDA .

 What is even more unclear is whether there will be a sharp jump in prices in the future. Now this question is of great interest to consumers, forcing them to change their buying behavior and reduce the cost of beef.

In terms of exports, the USDA said 1,415 shipments of beef were sold to non-NAFTA markets last week. This is lower than the exports recorded in the same week last year (1580), but still more than any other comparable week before COVID-19 . China emerged as the top market for US beef in November, at least in terms of volume sold. While Chinese buyers have significantly reduced pork purchases, demand for American beef is only growing, especially since supplies from Argentina, Uruguay or Australia are severely limited.

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  WEEKLY CUT CHOICE COST

AVERAGE WEEKLY LIVESTOCK PRICE

 

Sale of livestock, heads

Average weight

average price

11/26/2021

03.12.2021

Growth per week,%

11/26/2021

03.12.2021

Growth,%

11/26/2021

03.12.2021

Growth,%

Bulls (live weight)

48 064

48 535

1.0%

1482

1484

0.1%

138.1

140.5

1.7%

Heifers (live weight)

20 438

21 616

5.8%

1 319

1 323

0.3%

137.8

140.7

2.0%

Bulls (slaughter. weight)

6 388

6 207

-2.8%

956

955

-0.1%

215.9

220.0

1.9%

Heifers (slaughter weight)

2481

3 275

32.0%

848

852

0.5%

216.6

219.9

1.5%

WEEKLY WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE OF BULLS

BEEF PRODUCTION

 

48 week

47 week

48 week 2020

Growth per week,%

Growth per year,%

Slaughter volume

676 000

566 000

669 000

19.4%

1.0%

Live weight

1381

1380

1 394

0.1%

-0.9%

slaughter weight

834

833

841

0.12%

-0.8%

Beef production (million pounds)

562.5

470.5

561.6

19.6%

0.2%

 

CME, Livestock Futures

 

 

 

 

Week 47

Week 48

Growth per week,%

December

138.10

137.68

-0.3%

February

141.20

138.95

-1.6%

April

143.85

142.15

-1.2%

CME, Fattener Cattle Futures

 

 

 

January

167.15

164.13

-1.8%

March

167.98

167.10

-0.5%

April

169.88

169.85

0.0%

 

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