US Broiler Market Outlook Week 25, June 23, 2025

Average prices for chicken cuts generally increased. Drumsticks and wings increased significantly, but a sharp decline in the price of chicken breasts was observed. The decline in chicken breast prices (-9.7%) may be due to market saturation, while the increase in fillets (+1.8%) and wings (+4.8%) was due to their popularity in the food service industry. The main drivers of growth were summer demand, logistics costs, and bird flu . Fillets and wings are growing due to their popularity, while breasts are declining due to a redistribution of supply.

The U.S.  broiler production forecast has been increased based on the latest production and hatchery data. The turkey production forecast has been reduced based on the latest hatchery data. The egg production forecast has been reduced based on the latest layer inventory data, as well as recent detections of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in commercial layer flocks.

The broiler EXPORT forecast for 2025 has been increased based on recent trade data indicating higher shipments in the second quarter. The broiler export forecast for 2026 remains unchanged. Turkey export forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been reduced as higher U.S. prices are expected to make exports less competitive in destination markets.

Broiler price forecasts have been increased for the second half of 2025 and into 2026, driven by higher prices for competing animal proteins. Turkey price forecasts have also been increased for 2025 and 2026 based on recent price strengthening. The 2025 egg price forecast has been slightly lowered for the third quarter based on recent prices, but the 2026 price forecast remains unchanged.

Price dynamics and sales volumes of broilers

Average weighted price of broilers by region

Region

Average price, cents/pound

Sales volume (thousand pounds)

Week 24

Week 25

Weekly growth,%

Week 24

Week 25

Weekly growth,%

Oriental

133.41

133.66

0.2%

4,873

4,886

0.3%

Central

129.22

128.13

-0.8%

2,726

2,867

5.2%

West

149.54

149.75

0.1%

2,950

3,070

4.1%

Chicken cutting price dynamics

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