The calm before the virus storm: a difficult autumn is predicted in Russia

A new, fourth, wave of coronavirus will come to Russia within the next three months. This forecast was voiced by a leading researcher in the field of molecular biology, virology and immunology, academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences Petr Chumakov. In St. Petersburg, according to the mathematical modeling of the NTI Center of SPbPU, the rise in the incidence may begin as early as mid-September.

RBC Petersburg has prepared a series of publications about what awaits the country in the fall, what determines the nature and timing of a new rise in the incidence, and what to focus on when deciding whether to vaccinate or revaccinate. The opinions of experts interviewed by the publication on which scenario of a pandemic is most likely differed.

Alexander Solovyov, leading expert of the National Medical Association for the development of expert activities in the field of laboratory diagnostics "MedLabExpert":

“The entire period of the pandemic, the coronavirus adapts perfectly to our cells in order to quickly enter the body and infect it. The process of its evolution is ongoing, and we still do not see the full picture. We still don't know much about him and are late in the race with him. For example, in Russia, a very small proportion of COVID samples are subjected to genomic sequencing, which allows timely detection of new strains and making predictions based on these data.