Estimation of feed production in the EU for 2023 and market forecast for 2024
Photo is illustrative in nature. From open sources.
The EU feed market in 2023 reflects ongoing political and market crisis pressures, as well as increasing demand to provide sustainable feed solutions to address market dynamics and regulatory considerations. These trends are in response to the adverse impacts of climate change and animal diseases on the supply of raw materials as well as the production potential of the livestock sector, including avian influenza (AI) and African swine fever ( ASF ). In addition, national policies ranging from greenhouse gas emission reduction targets to nitrate regulation have contributed to these changes.
Evolution of feed production by category. Annual percentage increase/decrease between 2022 and 2023. Source: FEFAC
Feed production varies across EU member states: while countries such as Germany , Ireland, Denmark and Hungary have seen feed production decline by around 5%, other countries such as Austria, Bulgaria, Italy and Romania have seen moderate growth. The remaining Member States either reduced feed production slightly or maintained it at levels similar to the previous year.
As in 2022, the pig feed sector was hit hardest in 2023, with a further decline of almost 2.5 million tonnes. Germany, for example, has seen a decline in pork production due to the loss of Asian EXPORT markets and has been the target of negative media campaigns. In 2023, Denmark experienced a significant drop in pork production of 13.6%. Spain, the EU's largest pig feed producer, lost 800,000 tonnes of production due to changing consumer preferences ( food price inflation ) and loss of export markets. Meanwhile, Italy continues to struggle with problems caused by African swine fever (ASF).
As for the prospects for feed demand in 2024 , this scenario remains uncertain. Key factors such as the impact of animal diseases, economic uncertainty, continued high food price inflation, ongoing weather disturbances and increased imports of poultry products from Ukraine are affecting local production. The impact of “animal welfare” policies is expected to have a negative impact on the livestock and feed market outlook, although costs for key feed materials, mainly feed grains, have fallen to 2022 levels.
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