Rabobank: Brazil's pork sector will lead growth in animal protein production by 2030

According to Rabobank forecasts, chicken production in Brazil will increase by 2% by 2026, compared to 1.6% in the US and up to 2% in the EU , which could impact global prices . Despite this, Brazil's export prospects remain strong.

Consulting firm Safras & Mercado forecasts that Brazil will export 5.5 million tons of chicken meat in 2026, thanks to a more stable sanitary situation following the disruptions caused by bird flu earlier this year. "The price decline indicates that Brazil is using the international market to relieve pressure on domestic supplies," said Fernando Iglesias, an animal protein analyst at Safras.

In contrast, pork is expected to experience faster and more sustainable growth, with exports increasing by 3.5–7% annually through 2030. Iglesias described pork as "the market with the greatest potential to open up new destinations and strengthen Brazil as one of the world's leading suppliers" and predicted that the country will become the world's third-largest pork exporter by the end of 2025 .

At the national level, the poultry and pork sectors are expected to benefit from lower beef supplies next year, which should boost domestic demand for cheaper proteins.