British experts assessed the risk of a new deadly pandemic

Analysts from Airfinity conducted risk modeling and found that the likelihood of a pandemic similar to covid in the next 10 years is about 28%. They urged to pay attention to viruses,

There is a 27.5% chance of a new coronavirus-like pandemic occurring over the next ten years, analysts at Airfinity, a British healthcare company, have concluded. Experts conducted risk modeling.

“Climate change, the rise in international travel, the growing global population and the growing threat posed by zoonotic diseases (those transmitted to humans from animals) are some of the main factors contributing to the increase in high-risk outbreaks,” the report said.

The rapid development of an effective vaccine can reduce the risk of a new pandemic: if it is introduced 100 days after the discovery of the pathogen, the probability of a pandemic will be 20% lower.

Analysts noted that the world should establish a “robust pandemic preparedness system,” including addressing the lack of vaccines for many high-risk pathogens such as Zika, MERS (Middle East Respiratory Syndrome CORONAVIRUS) and Marburg.

The Zika virus was first identified in rhesus monkeys in 1947 in Uganda, and human infections became known in the 1950s. The virus is carried by mosquitoes. Symptoms include rash, fever, muscle and joint pain. Infection can lead to the development of serious diseases, such as myelitis.

The Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus, or MERS, is transmitted to humans from dromedary camels. Since 2012, a total of 27 countries have reported cases of the virus, with more than 850 deaths. Symptoms are fever, cough and shortness of breath.

The Marburg virus is a relative of Ebola. It was identified in 1967 after simultaneous outbreaks in the German city of Marburg and in Belgrade. The carriers are bats. Symptoms include fever, rash, sore throat and stomachache. Deaths after infection were recorded in African countries.

covid-19 was first reported in the Chinese city of Wuhan on December 31, 2019. According to WHO, almost 763 million cases of infection were recorded worldwide, with 6.9 million deaths. In RUSSIA, more than 22 million infections were detected, about 400 thousand people died.

Read pioneerprodukt.by How to look for work using ChatGPT Shareholders from unfriendly countries ignore meetings: what to do Playing against the rules: can the West compete with CHINA Pavlov's theory is being questioned.What does this mean for neural networks