Stocks of spare parts for aircraft of Russian airlines will last for three months. BLOOMBERG gave such an assessment of specialists in the IBA aviation industry. In their opinion, in three months, Russian airlines can begin to dismantle aircraft for spare parts.
At the end of April, Kommersant, citing sources in the Ministry of Transport, AEVT and two airlines, wrote that, according to the negative scenario of the program for the development of the Russian air transport industry until 2030, from the second half of 2022, the fleet of foreign aircraft in the country will spare parts will ensure the airworthiness of the fleet remaining in operation.
According to the newspaper's source in the Ministry of Transport, from half to two thirds of foreign aircraft are under the threat of dismantling.
According to Bloomberg, an attempt to replace Airbus and Boeing with Russian-made aircraft will not be able to compensate for the shortage. The HEAD of the global consulting company Cirium, Rob Morris, told the agency that the production of Russian engines for the Superjet is “still far away” (now an engine manufactured in partnership with the French Safran SA is used).
Kommersant learned about the concerns of the Ministry of Transport due to the risk of a shortage of pilots Business
Morris also described Russia's plans to increase production of Soviet-designed Tu-214s as "problematic". “The Tu-214 has been produced in extremely limited numbers for several years, and over the past five years, aircraft have been delivered to only five customers, simply because it is an uncompetitive aircraft in terms of both performance and efficiency,” he said.
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Yuri Borisov said in March that the mass production of the MS-21 aircraft had been pushed back by two years as the company seeks to purchase parts domestically, the agency recalled.
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Izvestia learned about the proposal to produce Boeing and Airbus parts in RUSSIA
Since the end of February, Great Britain, the usa , the European Union and other countries have introduced restrictions on the flights of Russian airlines.
The EU also announced sanctions against the Russian aviation industry. The European Union imposed a ban on the EXPORT to Russia of goods and technologies used in the aviation and space sectors, as well as a ban on insurance and maintenance of goods related to these industries.
The American aircraft manufacturer Boeing has temporarily stopped maintenance and support of Russian airlines and the supply of spare parts to them. Following him, similar measures were taken by the European manufacturer Airbus.
Ten out of the top 20 Russian airlines use Airbus aircraft. Aeroflot's fleet has 117 Airbus aircraft, S7 - 66. These companies also carry out transportation on Boeing aircraft.
In addition, manufacturers of aircraft engines, including CFM International, notified Russian carriers of the termination of cooperation.
According to the Ministry of Transport, as of mid-March, out of 1367 aircraft of Russian airlines, 739 were registered in foreign registries.
In mid-March, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a law on the possibility of registering rights to foreign aircraft leased by Russian companies, which will allow airlines to maintain a fleet of foreign aircraft and use them on domestic routes.
See also Western reaction to Russian sanctions 04:59
The executive DIRECTOR of the Aviaport agency, Oleg Panteleev, said that it would take at least a couple of years to wait until the Russian aviation industry was able to restore production of the entire line of aircraft that airlines needed.
Moreover, there are no prospects for the supply of Russian-made wide-body aircraft yet, the expert pointed out.
So far, Rostec can only offer regional Superjet 100s to Russian airlines. In 2022, the Rossiya airline should start operating the new mainline MS-21, but it has not yet been certified in the modification required for the airline.