ASF epizootic situation in Russia will worsen

The spread of ASF among the domestic pig population was predicted by analysts of the Federal Center for Animal HEALTH (subordinate to ROSSELKHOZNADZOR). In the report of analysts, it is indicated that, in general, there is a tendency for the epizootic situation to worsen in the country. Analysts expect at least 203 more ASF outbreaks by the end of the year.

Most outbreaks are expected in domestic pigs, with analysts predicting between 107 and 151 new outbreaks. Between 57 and 91 outbreaks can occur among wild boars. ASF outbreaks are already occurring in private household plots in the Vladimir region, among wild boars in Chuvashia, and analysts also expect outbreaks in regions bordering already disadvantaged regions.

ASF spreads seasonally, analysts said, with outbreaks typically occurring in June-August and November-December. This is due to some features of pig farms - the timing of the acquisition of new pigs for fattening, house slaughter and other seasonal changes, and with the biological characteristics of wild boars - the timing when wild boars move between sites due to human agricultural activities, with the seasonal formation of new families, etc. Further.

Recall that for the whole of 2022, 143 outbreaks of ASF were recorded in RUSSIA.