The international reaction to the special operation of Russian forces in Ukraine is a key deterrent for China on the issue of policy towards Taiwan and the South China Sea. This was stated by Japanese Defense Minister Nobuo Kishi in an interview with the Washington Post.
“China is watching closely <...>, they are paying especially close attention to what kind of reaction the international community is receiving,” Qisi said.
In his opinion, the reaction of the world community will influence the decisions of the Chinese authorities and their chosen actions in the "Asian region and the future." If countries begin to justify Moscow's actions, the Japanese minister is sure, this "may send the wrong signal that such actions can be tolerated in other parts of the world, including in the Indo-Pacific region."
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Informed sources told The Guardian in early May about the decision of the Chinese authorities to conduct stress tests of the stability of the economy in the event of the imposition of sanctions similar to those applied against RUSSIA.
Such inspections began in late February and early March, the newspaper's interlocutors noted, and a number of key Chinese departments are involved in it, from international trade to banking regulation. The publication wrote that Beijing is using the actions of Western countries as a basis for working out likely responses if sanctions against China are adopted.
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The situation around Taiwan and the South China Sea escalated in the spring of 2021, when Beijing accused Washington of violating its maritime borders. At the same time, the Taiwan Ministry of Defense repeatedly stated that Chinese military aircraft were violating the island's airspace. The Chinese side claimed that these aircraft are taking part in the exercises.
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The United States warned that it would support Taiwan in the event of a Chinese attack. US President Joe Biden in October last year noted that Washington had assumed the relevant obligations.
In mid-April of this year, the Chinese Ministry of Defense announced its intention to hold military exercises off the coast of Taiwan, in which fighters, bombers, frigates and other forces were planned to participate. Beijing cited "incorrect signals" from Washington as the reason. The Financial Times in early May, citing informed sources, spoke about the negotiations between the US and the UK, which were devoted to options for closer cooperation to reduce the risk of a clash with China over Taiwan.
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